General Chaos

Guns don’t kill people, politicians do

So, like I said in yesterday's post (“I'll take Uruguay”), I'm not a big proponent of gun control–even though Americans perforate each other and themselves with firearms in a disproportionate number in comparison to other wealthy countries, I don't think guns themselves are the problem.

If you look at the world statistics on violent death I pointed to yesterday, you'll see that the countries at the top of the list (with the exception of Israel, though I suspect it fits to some degree as well) all have a few things in common:

1) An absence of a social safety net. The US has been slowly eroding its social welfare systems, both institutional and societal. Housing and healthcare are not considered inalienable human rights here, as they are in Canada and most of western Europe; American “welfare reform” largely succeeded in separating mothers from children for longer periods of time (as they go off to “workfare” jobs without the benefit of childcare) and nothing more.

2)A large crime-driven economy as a result. Where government and society fail to provide, other forces come in to play. Heroin, for example, isn't a social safety net, but it makes people not care so much about having fallen through one for a while, and people desperate about their social condition are more likely to turn to crime to achieve some level of security, self-worth, and disposable income. Organized crime networks in the former Soviet republics and parts of eastern Europe aren't the alternative economy for many–they're the only economy. And the same is true in parts of America's inner cities–like Baltimore.

3)A widening gulf between haves and have-nots, abetted by government. The recession hasn't hurt the wealthy all that much; the middle class in the US, however, has taken a huge hit. With increasing white-collar unemployment and increasing corporate productivity, more and more people are going to be falling through the cracks of what remains of the social safety net.

4)Growing fear despair. You can't tell people things are getting better and beat them at the same time and expect them to believe you. A significant percentage of people on the streets of East Baltimore, Bangkok, Chiapas and Kiev all see the government the same way–as a random whip hand, not a helping hand. Whatever the government does will only create more of a hassle for whatever line they've got going to make the world work for them. There is no hope for a “mainstream” middle class existence in their future, or even for a steady job or decent housing; the government has abandoned them, if it ever cared at all. Think Monrovia.

When the NRA says that the government doesn't enforce the gun laws on the books, they're right. But when the government cracks down, people scream about “overzealous policing”. What's the answer?

Maybe, it's to prevent people from feeling that their livelihood depends on them shooting someone else. And that means going to the root of the problem–the two centuries plus of bad social policy that created this mess here.

(Geez, it looks like David Horowitz agrees with me, to a point. Hmm.)

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Administrivia, General Chaos

I'll take Uruguay

A frequent criticism of the statistics used by the gun control lobby and folks like Michael Moore use is that the huge disparity in gun deaths in the US vs the rest of the world doesn't take other violence in those countries into account, and doesn't weight the numbers against population. So there, nyah nyah nyah.

Well, here are those numbers, thanks to School of Social Science at UC Irvine's Peace Monitor program.

And guess what? The US still sucks when it comes to violence. You're less likely to get whacked in Uruguay than here.

Americans are more than twice as likely (at 7.9 violent deaths per 100,000 people) to be killed in an act of violence as, say, Canadians (who get offed violently at a rate of 2.7 per 100k), and are still way ahead of Japan (2.0) and England and Wales (which, at 4.2, is even more dangerous than Northern Ireland which rates a 3.4). Even Cuba, with 7.6 offings per 100k, is marginally safer.

But there's a place where violence is ten times as bad as it is here–where 77.4 people per 100k come to a bloody end. And that place is…the Russian Federation. Running a distant second is the Phillipines, which has a violent death rate of 58.1 per 100k. (Israel, by comparison, ranks at 8.3 per 100k–placing it just ahead of Poland and the US).

Wanna live someplace safe? Try Norway, with 1.2 violent deaths per 100k population.

Now, it's concievable that there are places that are even worse than Russia–these numbers are based on data from the World Health Organization mortality database, which only covers 66 countries thoroughly.

But somehow, having just a tenth of the violence of Russia–which has a civil war going on with Chechnya–strikes me as faint praise for American civility.
The only European countries with higher violent death rates than the US are Poland, Portugal (with 15.6/100k! Yikes!), the Republic of Moldova and the Baltic states (Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia).

By the way, in 2000, my home town of Baltimore had a murder rate of 40.3 per 100,000, which would place it in the #4 position on the world chart if taken separately from the rest of the US–right behind Venezuela.

Now, just because I'm pointing this out doesn't mean I'm for gun control (well, not in the conventional sense, at least). I think the problem is rooted elsewhere… but that's another post.

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